Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 4.191134 4.500719 4.833110 5.218460 5.655384 6.138377 6.716845
2025-08-10 3.671875 4.093278 4.574565 5.172273 5.905373 6.790154 7.963153
2025-08-17 3.306532 3.768450 4.316054 5.026175 5.943356 7.119768 8.800873
2025-08-24 3.064411 3.552077 4.147158 4.945900 6.022376 7.476937 9.700626
2025-08-31 2.931793 3.451751 4.103569 5.007731 6.278317 8.088742 11.063577
2025-09-07 2.797736 3.335379 4.024247 5.006189 6.435995 8.570590 12.319400
2025-09-14 2.621598 3.151064 3.839288 4.838370 6.328886 8.628184 12.867201
2025-09-21 2.488618 3.014670 3.707968 4.732421 6.297898 8.794038 13.635474
2025-09-28 2.385978 2.912268 3.615276 4.672401 6.327108 9.056484 14.643279
2025-10-05 2.321902 2.857822 3.584479 4.698881 6.491939 9.569541 16.297719
2025-10-12 2.278659 2.828914 3.586708 4.773254 6.739772 10.266912 18.589683
2025-10-19 2.239785 2.803474 3.591368 4.850061 6.997942 11.026310 21.341168
2025-10-26 2.176947 2.744964 3.549653 4.859106 7.155510 11.651810 24.163765
2025-11-02 2.103617 2.668739 3.478348 4.816453 7.218728 12.103960 26.790721
2025-11-09 2.013793 2.564623 3.359363 4.685984 7.103953 12.145504 28.131118
2025-11-16 1.945287 2.488595 3.279058 4.614179 7.092284 12.419615 30.496965
2025-11-23 1.912453 2.463150 3.274465 4.669491 7.332235 13.339559 36.180829
2025-11-30 1.868681 2.419479 3.238957 4.668113 7.458228 14.010234 41.583817
2025-12-07 1.794147 2.327225 3.123056 4.517876 7.262781 13.802348 42.398855
2025-12-14 1.736066 2.257867 3.040751 4.422856 7.174842 13.873583 44.942953
2025-12-21 1.690299 2.205548 2.983371 4.368966 7.168801 14.173058 49.314855
2025-12-28 1.663595 2.181131 2.969501 4.392748 7.332804 15.003006 58.790736
2026-01-04 1.647054 2.171498 2.978864 4.459493 7.599936 16.228471 75.000736